Supercopa Final
Global 0-4
Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
DEP
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ESP
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
BET
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
ATH
3 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
56%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SEV
3 - 2
FCB
25%
27%
48%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
54%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |