Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RMA
0 - 0
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 1
AND
92%
6%
2%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
SLA
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 3
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 4
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCB
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FCB
6 - 0
CEL
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
REC
0 - 0
FCB
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 0
AND
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |