Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
ESP
3 - 0
SLA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ELC
2 - 1
ESP
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAL
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
FCB
4 - 0
OVI
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
FCB
0 - 1
LIV
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
UDL
3 - 1
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FCB
3 - 1
BET
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |