Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ATH
1 - 2
ESP
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
RAC
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAL
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
UDL
2 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 1
VCF
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
FCB
5 - 2
ALA
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 1
RSO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
VAD
1 - 2
FCB
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |