Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
ESP
84%
9%
7%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 2
ATH
53%
19%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
RSO
3 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 0
FCB
46%
22%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 2
MAL
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 0
RSO
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
72%
14%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1951 |
FCB
4 - 1
CAT
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 3
FCB
30%
22%
49%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |