Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAB
2 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
GIM
4 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
4 - 1
DEP
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
FCB
2 - 1
SEV
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 1
FCB
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATH
68%
16%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
62%
18%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
FCB
4 - 3
VCF
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |