Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
SEV
0 - 0
FCB
52%
20%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
67%
16%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
FCB
3 - 0
DEP
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |