Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
RMA
7 - 0
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ESP
2 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
SEV
4 - 2
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
32%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
OVI
3 - 1
ESP
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 0
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
CEL
4 - 2
FCB
51%
21%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCB
7 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BET
0 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 1
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |