Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 2
ESP
28%
22%
50%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAB
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
FCB
4 - 0
TER
87%
9%
5%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
TER
2 - 1
FCB
20%
20%
61%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |