Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 2
CEL
73%
14%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
LEV
0 - 4
ESP
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ESP
6 - 2
LEV
83%
11%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
DEP
0 - 1
FCB
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 0
DEP
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
FCB
7 - 0
AFP
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 10 | 73 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
AFP
2 - 2
FCB
17%
19%
64%
|
83 | 9 | 74 | 0 |