Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
ARE
2 - 0
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 2
EUR
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 4
ESP
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
3 - 3
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATH
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RUN
1 - 3
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 0
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |