Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Espanyol vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 1
ATM
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ESP
3 - 1
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
ARE
4 - 6
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
ESP
5 - 2
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
2 - 0
SEV
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
RSO
0 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
FCB
6 - 0
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RAC
2 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
47%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |