Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-0
Espanyol vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 2
ESP
43%
21%
35%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
8 - 3
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 2
ESP
43%
21%
35%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
BAR
2 - 3
RCF
64%
18%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
RCD
3 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
4 - 2
MAL
73%
16%
12%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
HER
3 - 2
BAR
60%
21%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |