Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-0
Espanyol vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 0
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 2
VCF
41%
23%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 4
ESP
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
DEP
3 - 2
ESP
37%
23%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
ESP
3 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
RCF
5 - 2
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
JFC
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BAR
0 - 4
ESP
39%
23%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |