Espanyol vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
50%
20%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
CAS
2 - 1
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ESP
3 - 0
BET
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ESP
31%
22%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
1 - 1
DEP
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ATM
1 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATM
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ATM
5 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |