Espanyol vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
CAS
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 0
ESP
28%
21%
52%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRA
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 4
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ATM
4 - 1
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |