Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 2
RSO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1961 |
ESP
3 - 2
RAC
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ELC
6 - 2
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ATH
0 - 0
OSA
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BET
1 - 1
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ATH
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |