Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ESP
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
UDL
0 - 2
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ESP
0 - 2
VCF
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
BET
2 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
BET
1 - 0
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
1 - 3
RMA
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
RSO
1 - 3
ATH
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ATH
3 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |