Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VAD
4 - 0
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
CEL
4 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAL
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 4
VCF
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 3
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VCF
4 - 1
ATH
67%
17%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 0
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |