Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
41%
23%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SAB
2 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ATH
4 - 0
SEV
71%
15%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1949 |
ATH
8 - 2
ARE
92%
5%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 2
CEL
72%
15%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ATM
3 - 2
ATH
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |