Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 3
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
VCF
3 - 2
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
42%
22%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ATH
6 - 0
DEP
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 4
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ATH
4 - 1
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
ATH
0 - 1
VCF
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |