Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
ATM
7 - 3
ESP
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
ESP
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
ATH
2 - 3
SPO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ATH
7 - 1
CAS
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
6 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |