Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 0
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 1
DEP
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
ATH
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 3
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |