Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
SAB
0 - 6
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
5 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESP
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 0
ATM
71%
15%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SEV
2 - 3
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |