Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
RUN
4 - 3
ESP
41%
23%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATM
68%
17%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
68%
17%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 2
ARE
75%
14%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 0
RMA
56%
20%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ATH
4 - 2
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
60%
19%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1929 |
ATH
5 - 1
FCB
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1929 |
RUN
6 - 3
ATH
43%
24%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |