Espanyol vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
OVI
0 - 0
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
44%
23%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VCF
1 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
SAB
3 - 3
ESP
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATM
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ALC
1 - 0
ATM
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
ALC
6 - 1
SPO
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
RSO
5 - 0
ALC
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ALC
2 - 0
CEL
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |