Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-2
Espanyol vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BET
3 - 3
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
CRV
5 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ALA
1 - 0
CUL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ALA
2 - 1
SLA
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
ALA
4 - 1
SDI
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |