Espanyol B vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
FIG
2 - 1
RCD
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
RCD
1 - 0
CAS
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
GAV
0 - 4
RCD
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
RCD
2 - 1
ALI
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
RCD
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
GIM
1 - 1
REU
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 3
GIM
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
GIM
0 - 1
BUR
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 1
GIM
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
GIM
0 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |