Espanyol B vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
6º
4º
42
8º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
45% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
87.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RCD
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RCD
1 - 0
OLO
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RCD
3 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RCD
3 - 2
UES
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
RCD
1 - 0
GIM
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 2
PRA
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 0
ALZ
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALZ
74%
18%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALZ
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 0
ALZ
14%
23%
64%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |