Espanya vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
ESP
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 2
SAM
22%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 1
ESP
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
SVE
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 1
PET
60%
21%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
STA
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 2
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
SAM
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 4
MUR
74%
15%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |