Espanya vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
UDA
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAR
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
PON
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
PET
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
34%
26%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
6 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |