Español Valladolid vs Fortuna Gijon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
4 - 3
DEV
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
22%
64%
|
6 | 76 | 70 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
RSG
4 - 0
DEV
86%
9%
5%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1925 |
OVE
2 - 2
DEV
70%
17%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
CEL
7 - 2
DEV
86%
10%
5%
|
6 | 75 | 69 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Gijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
4 - 3
DEV
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
2 - 1
RSG
17%
23%
60%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | +6 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
CEL
8 - 2
FOG
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 76 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RUD
1 - 1
FOG
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
FOG
1 - 2
DEP
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 73 | 60 | 0 |