Spain U23 vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1971 |
TUR
0 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
34%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1971 |
ESP
3 - 0
TUR
70%
16%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 0
ESP
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
0 - 0
JPN
60%
19%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
3 - 0
NGA
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
POL
1 - 3
BRD
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
POL
5 - 1
TUR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
ALB
1 - 1
POL
19%
21%
60%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1971 |
SUI
2 - 4
POL
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CSK
2 - 2
POL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |