Spain U23 vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 0
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
GBR
0 - 0
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 0
GBR
42%
21%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1967 |
ESP
5 - 3
ISL
61%
18%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1967 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
57%
19%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1968 |
JPN
3 - 1
NGA
77%
13%
10%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
NGA
4 - 1
SLE
62%
18%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
NGA
2 - 2
GHA
34%
22%
44%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
NGA
2 - 3
GHA
35%
22%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
GHA
2 - 1
NGA
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |