Spain U23 vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
POL
2 - 0
ESP
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
BGR
8 - 3
ESP
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
ESP
0 - 2
POL
25%
22%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1971 |
TUR
0 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1971 |
ESP
3 - 0
TUR
70%
16%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 1
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
BGR
1 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
BGR
2 - 1
FRA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
BGR
8 - 3
ESP
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |