Spain U23 vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 0
SYR
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
1 - 1
ESP
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1979 |
COL
0 - 0
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1979 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 0
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
DDR
1 - 0
ALG
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1980 |
ALG
3 - 0
SYR
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
ALG
3 - 1
SLE
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SLE
2 - 2
ALG
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
3 - 0
ALG
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |