UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Spain U21 vs Yugoslavia 21s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
YUG
0 - 1
ESP
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
4 - 1
POL
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POL
2 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
YUG
0 - 1
ESP
29%
27%
44%
|
20 | 63 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
YUG
3 - 1
SCO
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
SCO
2 - 1
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
YUG
0 - 0
BGR
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 0
YUG
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |