Spain U21 vs San Marino U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
NOR
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 3
CRO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 3
ESP
19%
24%
58%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
5 - 0
GEO
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
SWE
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 2
SWE
8%
17%
75%
|
18 | 74 | 56 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GEO
4 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SMR
1 - 2
EST
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 3
CRO
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | 0 |