Spain U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 2
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
GER
56%
22%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
IRL
2 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 2
POL
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
LIE
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 6 | 55 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
LVA
2 - 2
POL
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
POL
1 - 3
UKR
47%
24%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |