Spain U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
GRC
1 - 0
ESP
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
HUN
0 - 1
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
NED
0 - 3
ESP
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
AND
1 - 1
ESP
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
NIR
0 - 1
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
MLT
2 - 2
NIR
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
NIR
1 - 3
ISL
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
DEN
2 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
CZE
4 - 0
NIR
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |