UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Spain U21 vs Hungary U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
HUN
3 - 1
ESP
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
BGR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
HUN
3 - 1
ESP
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
HUN
5 - 0
POL
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
HUN
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
HUN
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
1 - 0
HUN
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |