Spain U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUS
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
5 - 2
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NED
5 - 1
RUS
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
NED
3 - 2
GER
30%
23%
48%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
NED
3 - 1
AUS
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
NED
3 - 1
AUS
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
NED
4 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |