UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Spain U21 vs Greece U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1993 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
IRL
0 - 2
ESP
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
ALB
0 - 3
ESP
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOR
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1993 |
GRC
2 - 2
RUS
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
LUX
0 - 4
GRC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1993 |
GER
3 - 3
GRC
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
RUS
1 - 1
GRC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
HUN
1 - 2
GRC
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |