Spain U21 vs Georgia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14%
4.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 1
ESP
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
ITA
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
GEO
2 - 1
KAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
GEO
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 1
ESP
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GEO
1 - 3
SRB
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |