Spain U21 vs Austria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 1
DEN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 7
ESP
10%
18%
71%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 1
ESP
6%
16%
78%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 0
AUT
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 0
GRC
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
0 - 1
AUT
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
AUT
3 - 2
RUS
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 0
AUT
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |