Spain U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
IRL
2 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
PRT
4 - 1
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 1
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 1
BLR
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 0
DEU
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
0 - 4
NLD
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 1
DEU
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
DEU
1 - 0
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |