Spain U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
NOR
4 - 2
ESP
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1989 |
IRQ
2 - 0
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
ARG
1 - 2
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
BRA
1 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 2
SUN
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
ITA
0 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
NGA
0 - 2
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
BRA
0 - 1
ITA
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 2
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 1
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |