Spain U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 2
UZB
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
KOR
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
KSA
81%
13%
5%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
COD
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
UZB
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
URU
1 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |