Spain U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GRC
0 - 1
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 3
FRA
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 2
ESP
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NED
3 - 1
POL
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
POL
5 - 0
MLT
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
LUX
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |