Spain U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
TUR
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
GER
0 - 3
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 0
HUN
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
LTU
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
POL
3 - 4
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FIN
0 - 2
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
POL
3 - 2
SCO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |